图书简介
35 leading multi-disciplinary scientists with international reputations provide reviews of topical areas of research on uncertainty and reliability related aspects of water resource systems. The volume will be valuable for graduate students, scientists, consultants, administrators, and practising hydrologists and water managers.
1. Introduction Janos J. Bogardi and Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz; 2. Integrated regional risk assessment and safety management: challenge from agenda 21 Adrian Gheorghe; 3. Risk analysis: the unbearable cleverness of bluffing V. Klemes; 4. Aspects of uncertainty, reliability and risk in flood forecasting systems incorporating weather radar Robert J. Moore; 5. Probabilistic hydrometeorological forecasting Roman Krzysztofowicz; 6. Flood risk management: risk cartography for objective negotiations O. Gilard; 7. Responses to the variability and increasing uncertainty of climate in Australia Jonathan F. Thomas and Bryson C. Bates; 8. Developing an indicator of community’s disaster risk awareness Norio Okada; 9. Determination of capture zones of wells by Monte-Carlo simulation W. Kinzelbach, S. Vassolo and G.-M. Li; 10. Controlling three levels of uncertainties for ecological risk models Thierry Fahmy, Eric Parent and Dominique Gatel; 11. Stochastic precipitation-runoff modeling for water yield from a semi-arid forested watershed Argai Tecle and David E. Rupp; 12. Regional assessment of the impact of climate change on the yield of water supply systems Richard M. Vogel, Christopher J. Bell, Ranjith R. Suresh and Neil M. Fennessey; 13. Hydrological risk under non-stationary conditions changing hydroclimatological input A. Bárdossy and L. Duckstein; 14. Fuzzy compromise approach to water resource systems planning under uncertainty Michael J. Bender; 15. System and component uncertainties in water resources Ben Chie Yen; 16. Managing water quality under uncertainty: application of a new stochastic branch and bound method B. J. Lence and A. Ruszczynski; 17. Uncertainty in risk analysis of water resources systems under climate change Bijaya P. Shrestha; 18. Risk and reliability in water resources management theory and practice Uri Shamir; 19. Quantifying system sustainability using multiple risk criteria Daniel P. Loucks; 20. Irreversibility and sustainability in water resources systems H. P. Nachtnebel; 21. Future of reservoirs and their management criteria Kuniyoshi Takeuchi; 22. Performance criteria for multiunit reservoir operation and water allocation problems Darko Milutin and Janos J. Bogardi; 23. Risk management for hydraulic systems under hydrological loads Erich J. Plate.
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